How dangerous is the coronavirus? New statements are constantly being made in the media, and not all of them stand up to scientific assessment. In his lecture, Ulrich Mansmann presents epidemiological tools that help in risk and damage assessments of Covid-19. Among other things, he deals with the comparison of Covid-19 and influenza as well as the frequently asked question whether there are worse infectious diseases in Germany than Covid-19, but which we have integrated into our social life as a matter of course. The presentation will show how public data on the pandemic is being collected and made available and how a regional, national and global picture of what is happening can be derived from this: How many people are infected and how many people are ill? What do we know about the course of Covid-19's disease? An important question is also how the pandemic will develop in the coming months. Ulrich Mansmann outlines the basis on which the pandemic is being assessed and forecasts of varying quality are being made.
Prof. Dr. Ulrich Mansmann is Director of the Institute for Medical Information Processing, Biometry and Epidemiology (IBE) at the Medical Faculty of LMU and holds the Chair of Biometry and Biomathematics.